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Daegu FC vs Suwon City FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 10:30

Daegu FC

PPG 2.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

Suwon City FC

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 68.9% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.6%0-23.2%0-32.0%0-4+1.3%1 1-04.2%1-17.6%1-26.9%1-34.1%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.4%2-18.0%2-27.2%2-34.4%2-4+3.0%3 3-03.1%3-15.6%3-25.1%3-33.1%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.8%4+-24.4%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.7% 54.6% 1.83 -10.9%

Draw 21.9% 26.0% 3.85 -9.4%

Away win 29.4% 28.6% 3.50 +1.7%

Over 2.5 67.0% 66.7% 1.50 +0.5%

Over 3.5 45.9% 45.5% 2.20 +1.0%

BTTS 68.9% 69.4% 1.44 -0.8%

Home O1.5 61.8% 61.7% 1.62 +0.1%

Away O1.5 49.0% 42.6% 2.35 +15.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 26%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -35.6%

Bet Hit 37%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob68.9%

H 49% / xG 2.1-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.6%

#2 2–1 8.0%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Daegu FC2.1

Suwon City FC1.8

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 45.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DAEGU FC · PPG 2.11

SUWON CITY FC · PPG 1.56

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Daegu FC (H) 48.7%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -10.9%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -9.4%

Suwon City FC (A) 29.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +1.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Daegu FC face Suwon City FC in South Korea - K League 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Daegu FC a 49% chance, the draw 22% and Suwon City FC 29%, so Daegu FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Daegu FC and 1.8 for Suwon City FC (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Daegu FC are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 1.56 for Suwon City FC. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +15.2%.

Daegu FC vs Suwon City FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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