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Seoul E-Land FC vs Cheonan City Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Regular Season - 19 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 10:30

Seoul E-Land FC

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cheonan City

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 56.1% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-17.0%0-23.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.4%1-111.6%1-26.4%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.7%2-19.6%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.8%3-15.3%3-22.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.2%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% 65.4% 1.53 -25.2%

Draw 24.7% 24.4% 4.10 +0.8%

Away win 26.3% 19.2% 5.20 +22.1%

Over 2.5 56.1% 61.7% 1.62 -9.1%

Over 3.5 34.8% 39.2% 2.55 -11.3%

BTTS 55.4% 60.6% 1.65 -8.6%

Home O1.5 53.5% 65.4% 1.53 -18.1%

Away O1.5 36.4% 29.4% 3.40 +23.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 26%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -35.6%

Bet Hit 37%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 49% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–0 10.4%

#4 2–0 8.7%

#5 0–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seoul E-Land FC1.7

Cheonan City1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SEOUL E-LAND FC · PPG 1.62

CHEONAN CITY · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Seoul E-Land FC (H) 48.9%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -25.2%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +0.8%

Cheonan City (A) 26.3%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +22.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Seoul E-Land FC face Cheonan City in South Korea - K League 2 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seoul E-Land FC a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Cheonan City 26%, so Seoul E-Land FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Seoul E-Land FC and 1.1 for Cheonan City (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seoul E-Land FC are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.00 for Cheonan City. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +32.3%.

Seoul E-Land FC vs Cheonan City Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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