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Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 10:30

Pohang Steelers

PPG 1.38 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jeonbuk Motors

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.4%0-118.4%0-29.7%0-33.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.1%1-112.7%1-26.7%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-04.2%2-14.4%2-22.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.0%3-11.0%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.4% 32.3% 3.10 -16.5%

Draw 33.4% 32.3% 3.10 +3.5%

Away win 43.2% 42.6% 2.35 +1.5%

Over 2.5 35.9% 42.0% 2.38 -14.6%

Over 3.5 17.8% 22.2% 4.50 -11.9%

BTTS 46.4% 51.3% 1.95 -9.5%

Home O1.5 33.3% 31.3% 3.20 +6.6%

Away O1.5 36.4% 38.5% 2.60 -5.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 62%

ROI -29.6%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob46.4%

A 43% / xG 0.7-1.1 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.4%

#2 0–1 18.4%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 1–0 12.1%

#5 0–2 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pohang Steelers0.7

Jeonbuk Motors1.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

POHANG STEELERS · PPG 1.38

JEONBUK MOTORS · PPG 1.40

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.36, combined xG 1.75 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Pohang Steelers (H) 23.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -16.5%

Draw 33.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +3.5%

Jeonbuk Motors (A) 43.2%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV +1.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pohang Steelers face Jeonbuk Motors in South Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pohang Steelers a 23% chance, the draw 33% and Jeonbuk Motors 43%, so Jeonbuk Motors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Pohang Steelers and 1.1 for Jeonbuk Motors (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pohang Steelers are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.40 for Jeonbuk Motors. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +6.6%.

Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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