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FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Regular Season - 19 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 10:30

FC Seoul

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Pohang Steelers

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-110.3%0-24.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.7%1-112.9%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.9%2-18.1%2-23.3%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.1%3-13.4%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 55.6% 1.80 -17.9%

Draw 26.6% 29.9% 3.35 -6.5%

Away win 27.8% 21.7% 4.60 +16.7%

Over 2.5 46.8% 44.4% 2.25 +5.3%

Over 3.5 28.8% 23.8% 4.20 +12.6%

BTTS 48.4% 50.0% 2.00 -3.2%

Home O1.5 38.7% 47.6% 2.10 -18.7%

Away O1.5 20.7% 23.8% 4.20 -7.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 60%

ROI -25.3%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.4%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 12.5%

#3 1–0 15.7%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Seoul1.3

Pohang Steelers0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FC SEOUL · PPG 1.75

POHANG STEELERS · PPG 1.70

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.70)

Win probability 1X2

FC Seoul (H) 45.6%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -17.9%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -6.5%

Pohang Steelers (A) 27.8%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +16.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Seoul face Pohang Steelers in South Korea - K League 1 on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Seoul a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Pohang Steelers 28%, so FC Seoul are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for FC Seoul and 0.8 for Pohang Steelers (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Seoul are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.70 for Pohang Steelers. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +16.7%.

FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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