Today / Australia - NPL South Australia / Croydon Kings vs Campbelltown City

Croydon Kings vs Campbelltown City Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 05:00

Croydon Kings

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

Campbelltown City

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.0%0-22.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-04.9%1-17.2%1-25.3%1-32.6%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.0%2-18.8%2-26.5%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.8%3-17.1%3-25.2%3-32.6%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-17.7%4+-25.7%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.6% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 45.9% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 17%

Score Hit 17%

ROI -79.0%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.3%

H 56% / xG 2.4-1.5 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.8%

#2 1–1 7.2%

#3 3–1 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Croydon Kings2.4

Campbelltown City1.5

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 45.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CROYDON KINGS · PPG 1.44

CAMPBELLTOWN CITY · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.96 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Croydon Kings (H) 55.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Campbelltown City (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Croydon Kings face Campbelltown City in Australia - NPL South Australia on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Croydon Kings a 56% chance, the draw 21% and Campbelltown City 23%, so Croydon Kings are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Croydon Kings and 1.5 for Campbelltown City (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Croydon Kings are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.89 for Campbelltown City.

Croydon Kings vs Campbelltown City Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia

Match Preview & Prediction

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