Today / Australia - NPL South Australia / Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings
Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia
Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 18, 2026, 05:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 52% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%
Form & verdict
ADELAIDE CITY · PPG 2.50
CROYDON KINGS · PPG 1.75
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.50) > Away GOOD (1.75)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Adelaide City face Croydon Kings in Australia - NPL South Australia on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Adelaide City a 52% chance, the draw 21% and Croydon Kings 26%, so Adelaide City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Adelaide City and 1.1 for Croydon Kings (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Adelaide City are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.75 for Croydon Kings.