Today / Australia - NPL Capital Territory / Canberra Olympic vs Queanbeyan City

Canberra Olympic vs Queanbeyan City Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 04:30

Canberra Olympic

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Queanbeyan City

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-12.6%0-23.5%0-33.2%0-4+4.3%1 1-01.8%1-15.0%1-26.8%1-36.2%1-4+8.2%2 2-01.8%2-14.8%2-26.6%2-36.0%2-4+7.9%3 3-01.1%3-13.1%3-24.2%3-33.8%3-4+5.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-12.3%4+-23.2%4+-32.9%4+-4+3.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.2% — — —

Draw 19.8% — — —

Away win 51.0% — — —

Over 2.5 74.0% — — —

Over 3.5 53.4% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 55.7% — — —

Away O1.5 67.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -10.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob69.5%

A 51% / xG 1.9-2.7 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 6.8%

#2 2–2 6.6%

#3 1–3 6.2%

#4 2–3 6.0%

#5 1–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Canberra Olympic1.9

Queanbeyan City2.7

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.0% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CANBERRA OLYMPIC · PPG 1.17

QUEANBEYAN CITY · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.80 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Canberra Olympic (H) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Queanbeyan City (A) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Canberra Olympic face Queanbeyan City in Australia - NPL Capital Territory on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Canberra Olympic a 29% chance, the draw 20% and Queanbeyan City 51%, so Queanbeyan City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Canberra Olympic and 2.7 for Queanbeyan City (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Canberra Olympic are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.43 for Queanbeyan City.

Canberra Olympic vs Queanbeyan City Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - NPL Capital Territory Predictions