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C. Croatia vs Brindabella Blu Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Saturday, July 11, 2026

C. Croatia

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brindabella Blu

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.43) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.3%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.3%1-11.2%1-20.3%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-05.5%2-13.0%2-20.8%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.8%3-14.8%3-21.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-041.1%4+-122.2%4+-26.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 82.6% — — —

Draw 10.9% — — —

Away win 6.5% — — —

Over 2.5 75.8% — — —

Over 3.5 52.9% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 77.8% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -7.7%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.8 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.4%

H 83% / xG 4.8-0.5 / O2.5 76% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 10.6%

#2 5–0 10.2%

#3 3–0 8.8%

#4 4–1 5.7%

#5 2–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

C. Croatia4.8

Brindabella Blu0.5

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.8% · O3.5 PROB 52.9%

Form & verdict PPG

C. CROATIA · PPG 2.50

BRINDABELLA BLU · PPG 0.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.43) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

C. Croatia (H) 82.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 10.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brindabella Blu (A) 6.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

C. Croatia face Brindabella Blu in Australia - NPL Capital Territory on Saturday, July 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives C. Croatia a 83% chance, the draw 11% and Brindabella Blu 7%, so C. Croatia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.8 for C. Croatia and 0.5 for Brindabella Blu (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, C. Croatia are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.43 for Brindabella Blu.

C. Croatia vs Brindabella Blu Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Match Preview & Prediction

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