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Canberra Juventus vs Canberra FC Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Regular Season - 7 ·Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 09:30

Canberra Juventus

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Canberra FC

PPG 2.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-13.1%0-23.8%0-33.2%0-4+3.5%1 1-02.4%1-15.9%1-27.3%1-36.0%1-4+6.7%2 2-02.3%2-15.6%2-27.0%2-35.7%2-4+6.4%3 3-01.4%3-13.6%3-24.4%3-33.7%3-4+4.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.6%4+-23.3%4+-32.7%4+-4+3.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.9% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 46.2% — — —

Over 2.5 72.0% — — —

Over 3.5 49.4% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 55.6% — — —

Away O1.5 67.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -10.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob69.6%

A 46% / xG 1.9-2.5 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.3%

#2 2–2 7.0%

#3 1–1 5.9%

#4 1–3 6.0%

#5 2–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Canberra Juventus1.9

Canberra FC2.5

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.0% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CANBERRA JUVENTUS · PPG 2.00

CANBERRA FC · PPG 2.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.00) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.38)

Win probability 1X2

Canberra Juventus (H) 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Canberra FC (A) 46.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Canberra Juventus face Canberra FC in Australia - NPL Capital Territory on Tuesday, July 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Canberra Juventus a 32% chance, the draw 22% and Canberra FC 46%, so Canberra FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Canberra Juventus and 2.5 for Canberra FC (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Canberra Juventus are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.38 for Canberra FC. This match finished 2-5.

Canberra Juventus vs Canberra FC Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Match Preview & Prediction

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