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Tuggeranong United vs Canberra White Eagles Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Regular Season - 14 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 09:30

Tuggeranong United

PPG 2.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Canberra White Eagles

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.3%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.3%1-11.5%1-20.8%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-03.1%2-13.5%2-22.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.9%3-15.6%3-23.2%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-022.7%4+-125.7%4+-214.5%4+-35.5%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.8% — — —

Draw 16.5% — — —

Away win 13.8% — — —

Over 2.5 79.4% — — —

Over 3.5 62.0% — — —

BTTS 64.1% — — —

Home O1.5 77.8% — — —

Away O1.5 36.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -10.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob64.1%

H 70% / xG 4.8-1.1 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.7%

#2 5–1 6.4%

#3 4–0 5.9%

#4 5–0 5.6%

#5 3–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tuggeranong United4.8

Canberra White Eagles1.1

COMBINED 5.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.4% · O3.5 PROB 62.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TUGGERANONG UNITED · PPG 2.25

CANBERRA WHITE EAGLES · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.25), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Tuggeranong United (H) 69.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Canberra White Eagles (A) 13.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tuggeranong United face Canberra White Eagles in Australia - NPL Capital Territory on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tuggeranong United a 70% chance, the draw 17% and Canberra White Eagles 14%, so Tuggeranong United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.8 for Tuggeranong United and 1.1 for Canberra White Eagles (5.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tuggeranong United are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.50 for Canberra White Eagles.

Tuggeranong United vs Canberra White Eagles Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Match Preview & Prediction

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