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Cooks Hill United vs Lambton Jaffas Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 04:00

Cooks Hill United

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lambton Jaffas

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.8%0-24.0%0-32.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-05.5%1-19.1%1-27.5%1-34.1%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.2%2-18.5%2-27.1%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.2%3-15.4%3-24.4%3-32.4%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.9%4+-23.2%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% 40.8% 2.45 +20.5%

Draw 22.2% 23.1% 4.33 -2.3%

Away win 28.6% 47.6% 2.10 -24.0%

Over 2.5 67.0% 76.9% 1.30 -12.9%

Over 3.5 44.5% 58.8% 1.70 -24.3%

BTTS 64.5% 79.4% 1.26 -18.7%

Home O1.5 55.7% 59.2% 1.69 -5.9%

Away O1.5 49.0% 66.2% 1.51 -26.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 0%

ROI 19.3%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob64.5%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.7 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cooks Hill United1.9

Lambton Jaffas1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

COOKS HILL UNITED · PPG 1.67

LAMBTON JAFFAS · PPG 1.44

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cooks Hill United (H) 49.2%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +20.5%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -2.3%

Lambton Jaffas (A) 28.6%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -24.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cooks Hill United face Lambton Jaffas in Australia - NPL Northern NSW on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cooks Hill United a 49% chance, the draw 22% and Lambton Jaffas 29%, so Cooks Hill United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Cooks Hill United and 1.7 for Lambton Jaffas (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cooks Hill United are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.44 for Lambton Jaffas. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +5.8%.

Cooks Hill United vs Lambton Jaffas Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Match Preview & Prediction

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