Today / Australia - NPL Northern NSW / Cooks Hill Utd vs Broadmeadow

Cooks Hill Utd vs Broadmeadow Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, July 18, 2026, 02:00

Cooks Hill Utd

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Broadmeadow

PPG 2.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.1% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-14.7%0-25.3%0-34.0%0-4+3.9%1 1-03.3%1-17.5%1-28.6%1-36.5%1-4+6.2%2 2-02.7%2-16.1%2-26.9%2-35.2%2-4+5.0%3 3-01.4%3-13.3%3-23.7%3-32.8%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.9%4+-22.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.4% 22.7% 4.40 +42.6%

Draw 22.3% 23.8% 4.20 -3.8%

Away win 45.2% 64.5% 1.55 -29.9%

Over 2.5 67.1% 76.9% 1.30 -12.8%

Over 3.5 44.5% 60.6% 1.65 -26.6%

BTTS 63.8% 76.9% 1.30 -17.1%

Home O1.5 52.8% 46.1% 2.17 +14.6%

Away O1.5 67.9% 78.7% 1.27 -13.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.8%

A 45% / xG 1.6-2.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 2–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cooks Hill Utd1.6

Broadmeadow2.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.1% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

COOKS HILL UTD · PPG 1.67

BROADMEADOW · PPG 2.11

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.67) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.11)

Win probability 1X2

Cooks Hill Utd (H) 32.4%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +42.6%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -3.8%

Broadmeadow (A) 45.2%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -29.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cooks Hill Utd face Broadmeadow in Australia - NPL Northern NSW on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cooks Hill Utd a 32% chance, the draw 22% and Broadmeadow 45%, so Broadmeadow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Cooks Hill Utd and 2.3 for Broadmeadow (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cooks Hill Utd are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.11 for Broadmeadow. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +42.6%.

Cooks Hill Utd vs Broadmeadow Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - NPL Northern NSW Predictions