Today / Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg / Niendorfer TSV vs Eimsbutteler

Niendorfer TSV vs Eimsbutteler Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 31 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

Niendorfer TSV

PPG 1.23 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Eimsbutteler

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-12.0%0-24.0%0-35.5%0-4+16.8%1 1-00.6%1-12.5%1-25.0%1-36.8%1-4+20.9%2 2-00.4%2-11.5%2-23.1%2-34.3%2-4+13.0%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-21.3%3-31.8%3-4+5.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 6.3% — — —

Draw 8.5% — — —

Away win 85.1% — — —

Over 2.5 90.1% — — —

Over 3.5 77.9% — — —

BTTS 70.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 86%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)4.1 BTTS prob70.0%

A 85% / xG 1.2-4.1 / O2.5 90% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–4 7.0%

#2 1–3 6.8%

#3 1–5 5.7%

#4 0–4 5.6%

#5 0–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Niendorfer TSV1.2

Eimsbutteler4.1

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 90.1% · O3.5 PROB 77.9%

Form & verdict PPG

NIENDORFER TSV · PPG 1.23

EIMSBUTTELER · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Niendorfer TSV (H) 6.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 8.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eimsbutteler (A) 85.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Niendorfer TSV face Eimsbutteler in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Niendorfer TSV a 6% chance, the draw 9% and Eimsbutteler 85%, so Eimsbutteler are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Niendorfer TSV and 4.1 for Eimsbutteler (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-4. There is a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Niendorfer TSV are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 2.33 for Eimsbutteler. This match finished 1-2.

Niendorfer TSV vs Eimsbutteler Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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