Today / Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg / ETSV Hamburg vs Nikola Tesla

ETSV Hamburg vs Nikola Tesla Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 31 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

ETSV Hamburg

PPG 2.58 · HOME

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Nikola Tesla

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.4%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.4%1-11.7%1-21.0%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-03.3%2-13.8%2-22.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.1%3-15.9%3-23.4%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-021.2%4+-124.6%4+-214.3%4+-35.5%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 90.0% — — —

Draw 6.1% — — —

Away win 4.0% — — —

Over 2.5 92.7% — — —

Over 3.5 82.8% — — —

BTTS 67.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 80%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-0

xG (home)4.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob67.9%

H 90% / xG 4.6-1.2 / O2.5 93% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.8%

#2 5–1 6.3%

#3 3–1 5.9%

#4 4–0 5.9%

#5 5–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ETSV Hamburg4.6

Nikola Tesla1.2

COMBINED 5.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 92.7% · O3.5 PROB 82.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ETSV HAMBURG · PPG 2.58

NIKOLA TESLA · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.58), Away AVERAGE (1.23) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

ETSV Hamburg (H) 90.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 6.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nikola Tesla (A) 4.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

ETSV Hamburg face Nikola Tesla in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ETSV Hamburg a 90% chance, the draw 6% and Nikola Tesla 4%, so ETSV Hamburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.6 for ETSV Hamburg and 1.2 for Nikola Tesla (5.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 93% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ETSV Hamburg are averaging 2.58 points per game versus 1.23 for Nikola Tesla. This match finished 6-0.

ETSV Hamburg vs Nikola Tesla Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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