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Buchholz vs Teutonia O. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

Buchholz

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Teutonia O.

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.7%0-21.2%0-31.4%0-4+3.2%1 1-00.5%1-11.8%1-23.3%1-33.9%1-4+8.6%2 2-00.7%2-12.5%2-24.4%2-35.2%2-4+11.6%3 3-00.6%3-12.2%3-24.0%3-34.7%3-4+10.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-12.9%4+-25.2%4+-36.2%4+-4+13.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.1% — — —

Draw 16.0% — — —

Away win 54.9% — — —

Over 2.5 94.9% — — —

Over 3.5 87.1% — — —

BTTS 90.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)3.6 BTTS prob90.7%

A 55% / xG 2.7-3.6 / O2.5 95% / BTTS 91%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3 5.2%

#2 3–3 4.7%

#3 2–4 4.6%

#4 2–2 4.4%

#5 3–4 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Buchholz2.7

Teutonia O.3.6

COMBINED 6.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 94.9% · O3.5 PROB 87.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BUCHHOLZ · PPG 1.75

TEUTONIA O. · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Buchholz (H) 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Teutonia O. (A) 54.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Buchholz face Teutonia O. in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Buchholz a 29% chance, the draw 16% and Teutonia O. 55%, so Teutonia O. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Buchholz and 3.6 for Teutonia O. (6.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 95% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 91% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Buchholz are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.27 for Teutonia O..

Buchholz vs Teutonia O. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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