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NJS vs ÅIFK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Group B ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 16:00

NJS

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

ÅIFK

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 69.3% vs bookmaker-implied 90.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-18.3%0-212.3%0-312.2%0-4+18.8%1 1-01.7%1-15.1%1-27.5%1-37.4%1-4+11.4%2 2-00.5%2-11.5%2-22.3%2-32.3%2-4+3.5%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.3% 8.0% 12.50 +39.8%

Draw 17.4% 13.3% 7.50 +18.3%

Away win 69.3% 90.9% 1.10 -23.8%

Over 2.5 67.0% 86.2% 1.16 -22.3%

Over 3.5 44.5% 68.0% 1.47 -34.6%

BTTS 48.5% 62.5% 1.60 -22.4%

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 68.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -24.7%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)3.0 BTTS prob48.5%

A 69% / xG 0.6-3.0 / O2.5 67% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.3%

#2 0–3 12.2%

#3 0–4 9.0%

#4 0–1 8.3%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NJS0.6

ÅIFK3.0

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NJS · PPG 0.00

ÅIFK · PPG 2.33

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.36 for Away, form 0.00 vs 2.33

Win probability 1X2

NJS (H) 13.3%

ODDS 12.50 · IMPLIED 8.0% EV +39.8%

Draw 17.4%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV +18.3%

ÅIFK (A) 69.3%

ODDS 1.10 · IMPLIED 90.9% EV -23.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

NJS face ÅIFK in Finland - Kakkonen Group B on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NJS a 13% chance, the draw 17% and ÅIFK 69%, so ÅIFK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for NJS and 3.0 for ÅIFK (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NJS are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 2.33 for ÅIFK.

NJS vs ÅIFK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group B Predictions