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GrIFK vs AIFK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Group B ·Friday, July 17, 2026, 15:30

GrIFK

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

AIFK

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.7% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-17.3%0-28.9%0-37.2%0-4+7.8%1 1-03.2%1-17.9%1-29.5%1-37.7%1-4+8.3%2 2-01.7%2-14.2%2-25.1%2-34.1%2-4+4.5%3 3-00.6%3-11.5%3-21.8%3-31.5%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.6% 26.7% 3.75 -20.4%

Draw 20.9% 27.8% 3.60 -14.9%

Away win 61.4% 57.8% 1.73 +6.2%

Over 2.5 66.7% 73.5% 1.36 -9.3%

Over 3.5 44.2% 54.6% 1.83 -19.1%

BTTS 62.4% 71.4% 1.40 -12.6%

Home O1.5 35.6% 40.0% 2.50 -11.0%

Away O1.5 67.9% 71.4% 1.40 -4.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -22.6%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob62.4%

A 61% / xG 1.1-2.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.5%

#2 1–1 7.9%

#3 0–2 8.9%

#4 1–3 7.7%

#5 0–3 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GrIFK1.1

AIFK2.4

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.7% · O3.5 PROB 44.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GRIFK · PPG 1.50

AIFK · PPG 2.20

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

GrIFK (H) 17.6%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -20.4%

Draw 20.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -14.9%

AIFK (A) 61.4%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV +6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

GrIFK face AIFK in Finland - Kakkonen Group B on Friday, July 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GrIFK a 18% chance, the draw 21% and AIFK 61%, so AIFK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for GrIFK and 2.4 for AIFK (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GrIFK are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.20 for AIFK. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +10.7%.

GrIFK vs AIFK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group B Predictions