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Honka vs HJS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Sunday, July 12, 2026

Honka

PPG 2.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

HJS

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.20) > Away GOOD (1.83)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-11.9%0-20.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.5%1-15.6%1-22.8%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.2%2-18.3%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.2%3-18.2%3-24.2%3-31.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-012.7%4+-112.8%4+-26.5%4+-32.2%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.7% — — —

Draw 17.3% — — —

Away win 15.0% — — —

Over 2.5 67.2% — — —

Over 3.5 49.1% — — —

BTTS 62.4% — — —

Home O1.5 75.9% — — —

Away O1.5 31.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -20.9%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 78%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob62.4%

H 68% / xG 3.0-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.3%

#2 3–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 8.2%

#4 3–0 8.2%

#5 1–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Honka3.0

HJS1.0

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 49.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HONKA · PPG 2.20

HJS · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.20) > Away GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

Honka (H) 67.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

HJS (A) 15.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Honka face HJS in Finland - Kakkonen Group B on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Honka a 68% chance, the draw 17% and HJS 15%, so Honka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Honka and 1.0 for HJS (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Honka are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.83 for HJS.

Honka vs HJS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Match Preview & Prediction

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