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Turku PS vs Inter Turku Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 15:00

Turku PS

PPG 2.20 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWDD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Inter Turku

PPG 2.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.7% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-111.0%0-25.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.1%1-113.3%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.9%2-18.0%2-24.0%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.2%3-13.2%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% 26.3% 3.80 +68.0%

Draw 26.9% 30.3% 3.30 -6.7%

Away win 28.9% 52.4% 1.91 -26.9%

Over 2.5 46.1% 57.8% 1.73 -20.3%

Over 3.5 27.5% 36.4% 2.75 -14.6%

BTTS 51.7% 59.9% 1.67 -13.7%

Home O1.5 32.4% 30.8% 3.25 +5.3%

Away O1.5 31.8% 50.0% 2.00 -36.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 84 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 13.4%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.7%

H 44% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.1%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–0✓ 10.9%

#4 2–1 8.0%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Turku PS1.2

Inter Turku1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.1% · O3.5 PROB 27.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TURKU PS · PPG 2.20

INTER TURKU · PPG 2.10

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.19, combined xG 2.21 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Turku PS (H) 44.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +68.0%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -6.7%

Inter Turku (A) 28.9%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -26.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Turku PS face Inter Turku in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Turku PS a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Inter Turku 29%, so Turku PS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Turku PS and 1.0 for Inter Turku (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Turku PS are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 2.10 for Inter Turku. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +27.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Turku PS vs Inter Turku Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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