Today / Finland - Veikkausliiga / Inter Turku vs KuPS
Inter Turku vs KuPS Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga
Inter Turku
PPG 1.70 · HOME
KuPS
PPG 2.10 · AWAY
Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →
0 1 2 3 4+ 0 0-012.4% 0-111.5% 0-25.4% 0-31.7% 0-4+0.5% 1 1-014.4% 1-113.4% 1-26.2% 1-31.9% 1-4+0.5% 2 2-08.3% 2-17.7% 2-23.6% 2-31.1% 2-4+0.3% 3 3-03.2% 3-13.0% 3-21.4% 3-30.4% 3-4+0.1% 4+ 4+-01.2% 4+-11.1% 4+-20.5% 4+-30.2% 4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW ▣ FT RESULT
Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV
Market Model Implied Odds EV
Home win 43.5% 44.6% 2.24 -2.6%
Draw 27.6% 30.8% 3.25 -6.2%
Away win 28.9% 33.6% 2.98 -8.3%
Over 2.5 44.5% 51.8% 1.93 -14.1%
Over 3.5 25.5% 29.9% 3.35 -8.8%
BTTS 49.9% 58.8% 1.70 -15.2%
Home O1.5 31.4% 45.5% 2.20 -30.9%
Away O1.5 26.1% 37.0% 2.70 -17.7%
League track record ↗
Based on 84 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 43%
BTTS 43%
Score Hit 46%
ROI 13.4%
Bet Hit 67%
Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL
2 – 0 28% CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0 xG (home) 1.2 xG (away) 0.9 BTTS prob 49.9%
H 44% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
#1 1–0✓ 14.4%
#2 1–1 13.4%
#3 0–0 12.4%
#4 0–1 11.5%
#5 2–0 8.3%
Form & verdict PPG
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v... HIGH_DRAW_RISK xG gap +0.23, combined xG 2.09 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk
Season statistics shots · possession · passes · corners · cards · xG + Season Statistics average per match · 7 matches · 2026 Inter Turku ▾ lower is better KuPS
Attack
2.3 Shots outside box
5.8 35.7% Shooting accuracy
41.2% 44.0% Goals per shot on target
38.9% 1.42 xG for 6·7 of 7
2.10 Defence
2.4 Shots on target faced▾
3.4 0.57 Goals conceded▾
1.11 1.28 xG against▾ 6·7 of 7
1.48 Control
84.5% Pass accuracy
86.1% Discipline
Match Preview & Prediction Inter Turku face KuPS in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Turku a 44% chance, the draw 28% and KuPS 29%, so Inter Turku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Inter Turku and 0.9 for KuPS (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Turku are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 2.10 for KuPS. This match finished 1-0.
Matchday 22 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 16:00
