Today / Finland - Veikkausliiga / FF Jaro vs AC Oulu

FF Jaro vs AC Oulu Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

FF Jaro

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

AC Oulu

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-19.5%0-26.4%0-32.9%0-4+1.3%1 1-09.2%1-112.4%1-28.3%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.0%2-18.1%2-25.5%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.6%3-13.5%3-22.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.5%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% 32.8% 3.05 +7.0%

Draw 24.7% 29.4% 3.40 -9.6%

Away win 40.3% 47.2% 2.12 -14.6%

Over 2.5 53.9% 57.8% 1.73 -6.8%

Over 3.5 31.3% 35.7% 2.80 -12.4%

BTTS 54.7% 64.5% 1.55 -15.2%

Home O1.5 37.8% 40.8% 2.45 -7.4%

Away O1.5 41.2% 51.3% 1.95 -19.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 84 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 13.4%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.7%

A 40% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–2 8.3%

#3 0–1✓ 9.5%

#4 2–1 8.1%

#5 1–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FF Jaro1.3

AC Oulu1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FF JARO · PPG 1.30

AC OULU · PPG 1.10

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FF Jaro (H) 35.1%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +7.0%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.6%

AC Oulu (A) 40.3%

ODDS 2.12 · IMPLIED 47.2% EV -14.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

FF Jaro face AC Oulu in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FF Jaro a 35% chance, the draw 25% and AC Oulu 40%, so AC Oulu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for FF Jaro and 1.3 for AC Oulu (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FF Jaro are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.10 for AC Oulu. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +5.9%. This match finished 0-1.

FF Jaro vs AC Oulu Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Veikkausliiga Predictions