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Werder Bremen B vs Bremer SV Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 30 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

Werder Bremen B

PPG 1.43 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bremer SV

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 62.8% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-18.3%0-28.8%0-36.2%0-4+5.3%1 1-04.4%1-19.3%1-29.9%1-36.9%1-4+6.0%2 2-02.5%2-15.2%2-25.5%2-33.9%2-4+3.4%3 3-00.9%3-12.0%3-22.1%3-31.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 19.5% 45.5% 2.20 -57.1%

Draw 20.5% 26.7% 3.75 -23.1%

Away win 60.1% 37.7% 2.65 +59.3%

Over 2.5 62.8% 66.7% 1.50 -5.8%

Over 3.5 40.6% 43.5% 2.30 -6.6%

BTTS 59.3% 69.4% 1.44 -14.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob59.3%

A 60% / xG 1.1-2.1 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2✓ 9.9%

#2 1–1 9.3%

#3 0–2 8.8%

#4 0–1 8.3%

#5 1–3 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Werder Bremen B1.1

Bremer SV2.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.8% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WERDER BREMEN B · PPG 1.43

BREMER SV · PPG 1.23

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.43), Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Werder Bremen B (H) 19.5%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -57.1%

Draw 20.5%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -23.1%

Bremer SV (A) 60.1%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV +59.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Werder Bremen B face Bremer SV in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Werder Bremen B a 20% chance, the draw 21% and Bremer SV 60%, so Bremer SV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Werder Bremen B and 2.1 for Bremer SV (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Werder Bremen B are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.23 for Bremer SV. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +59.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Werder Bremen B vs Bremer SV Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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