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Jeddeloh vs Drochtersen.A. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 14:00

Jeddeloh

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Drochtersen.A.

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 69.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-12.7%0-22.7%0-31.8%0-4+1.4%1 1-03.1%1-16.2%1-26.2%1-34.1%1-4+3.3%2 2-03.6%2-17.2%2-27.2%2-34.8%2-4+3.8%3 3-02.8%3-15.5%3-25.5%3-33.7%3-4+2.9%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-15.5%4+-25.5%4+-33.7%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 43.5% 2.30 +4.9%

Draw 21.5% 26.0% 3.85 -10.3%

Away win 33.0% 40.0% 2.50 -17.5%

Over 2.5 69.8% 69.0% 1.45 +1.2%

Over 3.5 62.7% 46.5% 2.15 +34.8%

BTTS 66.7% 71.4% 1.40 -6.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob66.7%

H 46% / xG 2.3-2.0 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.2%

#2 2–2✓ 7.2%

#3 1–1 6.2%

#4 1–2 6.2%

#5 3–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeddeloh2.3

Drochtersen.A.2.0

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 62.7%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDDELOH · PPG 2.00

DROCHTERSEN.A. · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.69)

Win probability 1X2

Jeddeloh (H) 45.6%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +4.9%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -10.3%

Drochtersen.A. (A) 33.0%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -17.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeddeloh face Drochtersen.A. in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeddeloh a 46% chance, the draw 22% and Drochtersen.A. 33%, so Jeddeloh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Jeddeloh and 2.0 for Drochtersen.A. (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeddeloh are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.69 for Drochtersen.A.. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +34.8%. This match finished 2-2.

Jeddeloh vs Drochtersen.A. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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