VfB Lubeck vs Phonix Lubeck Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Germany - Regionalliga - Nord North - 30 Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle· Lubeck Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:00

VfB Lubeck PPG 1.46

3-1 MISS

Phonix Lubeck PPG 1.29

Away· +35.5% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

VfB Lubeck face Phonix Lubeck in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VfB Lubeck a 24% chance, the draw 22% and Phonix Lubeck 54%, so Phonix Lubeck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for VfB Lubeck and 1.9 for Phonix Lubeck (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VfB Lubeck are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.29 for Phonix Lubeck. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +35.5%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.6%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -45.7%

Draw 22.2%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -17.9%

Away 54.2%

Odds: 2.50 EV: +35.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.4% Odds: 1.50 -9.4%

Over 3.5 38.0% Odds: 2.30 -12.6%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.42 -15.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

VfB Lubeck

1.20

Phonix Lubeck

1.92

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -9.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-9.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.46), Away AVERAGE (1.29)