Today / South Korea - K League 2 / Suwon Bluewings vs Asan Mugunghwa

Suwon Bluewings vs Asan Mugunghwa Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Matchday 25 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 10:00

Suwon Bluewings

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDWW

UPCOMING

Asan Mugunghwa

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDLW

// Model verdict

Home 60% chance

Model probability 51.0% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-18.6%0-23.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.5%1-112.4%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.5%2-18.9%2-23.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.0%3-14.3%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-12.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% 63.7% 1.57 -19.9%

Draw 26.1% 27.0% 3.70 -2.1%

Away win 23.0% 20.8% 4.80 +6.2%

Over 2.5 50.4% 57.8% 1.73 -12.8%

Over 3.5 28.7% 36.4% 2.75 -12.6%

BTTS 50.9% 57.1% 1.75 -10.9%

Home O1.5 39.9% 61.7% 1.62 -35.4%

Away O1.5 24.5% 26.7% 3.75 -4.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -25.4%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob50.9%

H 51% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.5%

#2 1–1 12.4%

#3 2–0 10.5%

#4 0–0 10.0%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suwon Bluewings1.4

Asan Mugunghwa0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SUWON BLUEWINGS · PPG 2.00

ASAN MUGUNGHWA · PPG 0.90

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

60%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Suwon Bluewings (H) 51.0%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -19.9%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -2.1%

Asan Mugunghwa (A) 23.0%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Suwon Bluewings face Asan Mugunghwa in South Korea - K League 2 on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suwon Bluewings a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Asan Mugunghwa 23%, so Suwon Bluewings are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Suwon Bluewings and 0.9 for Asan Mugunghwa (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suwon Bluewings are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.90 for Asan Mugunghwa. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +16.1%.

Suwon Bluewings vs Asan Mugunghwa Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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