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Cheongju vs Seoul E-Land FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Matchday 25 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 10:30

Cheongju

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWDL

UPCOMING

Seoul E-Land FC

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWDD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 58.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-19.8%0-28.8%0-35.3%0-4+3.5%1 1-06.1%1-110.9%1-29.8%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.4%2-16.1%2-25.5%2-33.3%2-4+2.2%3 3-01.3%3-12.3%3-22.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.8% 26.3% 3.80 +1.1%

Draw 24.1% 28.2% 3.55 -8.7%

Away win 49.1% 54.6% 1.83 -10.2%

Over 2.5 58.6% 57.1% 1.75 +2.5%

Over 3.5 35.6% 35.7% 2.80 -0.3%

BTTS 55.9% 61.7% 1.62 -9.4%

Home O1.5 31.1% 34.7% 2.88 -10.4%

Away O1.5 47.9% 55.6% 1.80 -13.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -25.4%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob55.9%

A 49% / xG 1.1-1.8 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.8%

#4 0–1 9.8%

#5 2–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cheongju1.1

Seoul E-Land FC1.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.6% · O3.5 PROB 35.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CHEONGJU · PPG 1.00

SEOUL E-LAND FC · PPG 1.83

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.68 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Cheongju (H) 26.8%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +1.1%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -8.7%

Seoul E-Land FC (A) 49.1%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -10.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cheongju face Seoul E-Land FC in South Korea - K League 2 on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cheongju a 27% chance, the draw 24% and Seoul E-Land FC 49%, so Seoul E-Land FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Cheongju and 1.8 for Seoul E-Land FC (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cheongju are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.83 for Seoul E-Land FC. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +4.2%.

Cheongju vs Seoul E-Land FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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