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Gimhae City vs Yongin City Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Matchday 24 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 10:30

Gimhae City

PPG 0.22 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDLL

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Yongin City

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-112.6%0-29.5%0-34.8%0-4+2.5%1 1-08.2%1-112.3%1-29.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.0%2-16.0%2-24.5%2-32.3%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.3%3-11.9%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.0% 34.7% 2.88 -16.8%

Draw 27.1% 31.3% 3.20 -8.0%

Away win 47.9% 43.5% 2.30 +10.2%

Over 2.5 50.5% 51.3% 1.95 -1.5%

Over 3.5 28.7% 29.4% 3.40 -1.5%

BTTS 52.7% 58.8% 1.70 -10.4%

Home O1.5 30.9% 37.7% 2.65 -18.1%

Away O1.5 43.9% 44.4% 2.25 -1.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -25.4%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.7%

A 48% / xG 1.0-1.5 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–1 12.6%

#3 0–2 9.5%

#4 0–0 8.4%

#5 1–2 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gimhae City1.0

Yongin City1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GIMHAE CITY · PPG 0.22

YONGIN CITY · PPG 1.10

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.54 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Gimhae City (H) 25.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -16.8%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.0%

Yongin City (A) 47.9%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +10.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gimhae City face Yongin City in South Korea - K League 2 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gimhae City a 25% chance, the draw 27% and Yongin City 48%, so Yongin City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gimhae City and 1.5 for Yongin City (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gimhae City are averaging 0.22 points per game versus 1.10 for Yongin City. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +17.8%. This match finished 0-3.

Gimhae City vs Yongin City Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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