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Suwon FMC W vs Incheon Red Angels W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Regular Season - 17 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 10:00

Suwon FMC W

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Incheon Red Angels W

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-15.8%0-22.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.2%1-110.7%1-25.1%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.4%2-19.9%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.4%3-16.1%3-22.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-14.3%4+-22.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.5% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 20.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 32.8% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 55.7% — — —

Away O1.5 28.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 22%

ROI 26.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.3%

H 56% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–0 10.4%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 11.2%

#5 0–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suwon FMC W1.9

Incheon Red Angels W1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SUWON FMC W · PPG 1.67

INCHEON RED ANGELS W · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Suwon FMC W (H) 55.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Incheon Red Angels W (A) 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suwon FMC W face Incheon Red Angels W in South-Korea - WK-League on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suwon FMC W a 56% chance, the draw 24% and Incheon Red Angels W 20%, so Suwon FMC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Suwon FMC W and 1.0 for Incheon Red Angels W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suwon FMC W are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.29 for Incheon Red Angels W.

Suwon FMC W vs Incheon Red Angels W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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