Today / South-Korea - WK-League / Suwon FMC W vs Seoul W

Suwon FMC W vs Seoul W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Matchday 22 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 10:00

Suwon FMC W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Seoul W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDDL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 66.4% vs bookmaker-implied 85.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-12.8%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.5%1-17.1%1-22.4%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.2%2-18.8%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.9%3-17.3%3-22.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-012.4%4+-18.3%4+-22.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.4% 85.5% 1.17 -22.3%

Draw 19.2% 15.4% 6.50 +14.9%

Away win 14.4% 8.3% 12.00 +43.7%

Over 2.5 59.7% 75.2% 1.33 -20.6%

Over 3.5 36.7% 54.6% 1.83 -32.8%

BTTS 49.2% 54.3% 1.84 -9.5%

Home O1.5 65.8% 81.3% 1.23 -19.1%

Away O1.5 18.2% 19.8% 5.05 -4.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 18.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 66% / xG 2.5-0.7 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.2%

#2 3–0 10.9%

#3 1–1 7.1%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 2–1✓ 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suwon FMC W2.5

Seoul W0.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SUWON FMC W · PPG 2.00

SEOUL W · PPG 1.00

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.83 for Home, form 2.00 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Suwon FMC W (H) 66.4%

ODDS 1.17 · IMPLIED 85.5% EV -22.3%

Draw 19.2%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +14.9%

Seoul W (A) 14.4%

ODDS 12.00 · IMPLIED 8.3% EV +43.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Suwon FMC W face Seoul W in South-Korea - WK-League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suwon FMC W a 66% chance, the draw 19% and Seoul W 14%, so Suwon FMC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Suwon FMC W and 0.7 for Seoul W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suwon FMC W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Seoul W. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +10.2%. This match finished 2-1.

Suwon FMC W vs Seoul W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

More South-Korea - WK-League Predictions