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Gumi Sportstoto W vs Seoul W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Matchday 24 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 10:00

Gumi Sportstoto W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWWL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Seoul W

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-111.0%0-25.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.6%1-113.3%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.2%2-18.0%2-23.9%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.3%3-13.2%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.0% 40.0% 2.50 +7.5%

Draw 28.4% 30.3% 3.30 -3.8%

Away win 28.6% 41.7% 2.40 -18.8%

Over 2.5 42.7% 50.0% 2.00 -14.6%

Over 3.5 20.9% 29.9% 3.34 -18.1%

BTTS 48.0% 57.5% 1.74 -16.5%

Home O1.5 33.1% 43.9% 2.28 -24.5%

Away O1.5 27.8% 41.2% 2.43 -19.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 18.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.0%

H 43% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 1–0 13.6%

#3 0–0 11.2%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gumi Sportstoto W1.2

Seoul W1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GUMI SPORTSTOTO W · PPG 1.00

SEOUL W · PPG 0.91

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

48%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.23, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gumi Sportstoto W (H) 43.0%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +7.5%

Draw 28.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -3.8%

Seoul W (A) 28.6%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -18.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gumi Sportstoto W face Seoul W in South-Korea - WK-League on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gumi Sportstoto W a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Seoul W 29%, so Gumi Sportstoto W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Gumi Sportstoto W and 1.0 for Seoul W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gumi Sportstoto W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.91 for Seoul W. This match finished 0-2.

Gumi Sportstoto W vs Seoul W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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