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Gumi Sportstoto W vs Gyeongju W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Matchday 23 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 10:00

Gumi Sportstoto W

PPG 1.10 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDWW

UPCOMING

Gyeongju W

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDLD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 58.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-111.6%0-28.6%0-34.3%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.3%1-112.4%1-29.2%1-34.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.4%2-16.6%2-24.9%2-32.4%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.6%3-12.3%3-21.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.3% 31.3% 3.20 +0.2%

Draw 26.3% 30.8% 3.25 -8.7%

Away win 42.3% 50.0% 2.00 -15.4%

Over 2.5 50.4% 54.1% 1.85 -6.8%

Over 3.5 28.7% 31.8% 3.14 -5.9%

BTTS 52.9% 58.5% 1.71 -9.5%

Home O1.5 30.8% 35.2% 2.84 -12.5%

Away O1.5 42.2% 48.8% 2.05 -13.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 18.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.9%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–1 11.6%

#3 1–2 9.2%

#4 0–0 7.8%

#5 2–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gumi Sportstoto W1.1

Gyeongju W1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GUMI SPORTSTOTO W · PPG 1.10

GYEONGJU W · PPG 1.73

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.42 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gumi Sportstoto W (H) 31.3%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +0.2%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -8.7%

Gyeongju W (A) 42.3%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -15.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gumi Sportstoto W face Gyeongju W in South-Korea - WK-League on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gumi Sportstoto W a 31% chance, the draw 26% and Gyeongju W 42%, so Gyeongju W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Gumi Sportstoto W and 1.5 for Gyeongju W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gumi Sportstoto W are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.73 for Gyeongju W.

Gumi Sportstoto W vs Gyeongju W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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