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Hwacheon KSPO W vs Suwon FMC W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Matchday 23 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 10:00

Hwacheon KSPO W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDDD

UPCOMING

Suwon FMC W

PPG 2.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-113.9%0-28.9%0-33.8%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.1%1-113.0%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-04.8%2-16.1%2-23.9%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.5%3-11.9%3-21.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.0% 27.8% 3.60 +0.5%

Draw 27.5% 32.3% 3.10 -8.8%

Away win 44.5% 52.6% 1.90 -15.4%

Over 2.5 47.4% 54.1% 1.85 -12.3%

Over 3.5 26.2% 29.9% 3.34 -7.5%

BTTS 49.9% 56.2% 1.78 -11.2%

Home O1.5 30.8% 30.5% 3.28 +1.0%

Away O1.5 38.3% 50.8% 1.97 -24.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 18.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob49.9%

A 44% / xG 0.9-1.3 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–1 13.9%

#3 0–0 10.8%

#4 0–2 8.9%

#5 1–0 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hwacheon KSPO W0.9

Suwon FMC W1.3

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.4% · O3.5 PROB 26.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HWACHEON KSPO W · PPG 2.00

SUWON FMC W · PPG 2.73

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.35, combined xG 2.23 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Hwacheon KSPO W (H) 28.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +0.5%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -8.8%

Suwon FMC W (A) 44.5%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -15.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hwacheon KSPO W face Suwon FMC W in South-Korea - WK-League on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hwacheon KSPO W a 28% chance, the draw 28% and Suwon FMC W 45%, so Suwon FMC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Hwacheon KSPO W and 1.3 for Suwon FMC W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hwacheon KSPO W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.73 for Suwon FMC W. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +1.1%.

Hwacheon KSPO W vs Suwon FMC W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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