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Gumi Sportstoto W vs Hwacheon KSPO W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 10:00

Gumi Sportstoto W

PPG 0.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hwacheon KSPO W

PPG 2.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.08 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-118.7%0-215.2%0-38.2%0-4+4.8%1 1-06.2%1-110.1%1-28.2%1-34.4%1-4+2.6%2 2-01.7%2-12.7%2-22.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.3%3-10.5%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.1% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 58.8% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 23.4% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 36%

ROI 42.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob44.6%

A 59% / xG 0.5-1.6 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 18.7%

#2 0–2 15.2%

#3 0–0 11.5%

#4 1–1 10.1%

#5 0–3 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gumi Sportstoto W0.5

Hwacheon KSPO W1.6

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 23.4%

Form & verdict PPG

GUMI SPORTSTOTO W · PPG 0.88

HWACHEON KSPO W · PPG 2.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.08 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Gumi Sportstoto W (H) 16.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hwacheon KSPO W (A) 58.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gumi Sportstoto W face Hwacheon KSPO W in South-Korea - WK-League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gumi Sportstoto W a 16% chance, the draw 25% and Hwacheon KSPO W 59%, so Hwacheon KSPO W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Gumi Sportstoto W and 1.6 for Hwacheon KSPO W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gumi Sportstoto W are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 2.29 for Hwacheon KSPO W.

Gumi Sportstoto W vs Hwacheon KSPO W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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