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Seoul W vs Incheon Red Angels W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Matchday 23 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 10:00

Seoul W

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDDL

UPCOMING

Incheon Red Angels W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-112.6%0-27.9%0-33.3%0-4+1.3%1 1-010.5%1-113.2%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-05.5%2-16.9%2-24.3%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.9%3-12.4%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% 42.6% 2.35 -24.1%

Draw 28.7% 30.8% 3.25 -4.0%

Away win 39.0% 38.5% 2.60 +1.4%

Over 2.5 44.5% 54.1% 1.85 -17.7%

Over 3.5 25.7% 30.5% 3.28 -9.4%

BTTS 49.9% 58.5% 1.71 -14.7%

Home O1.5 30.8% 42.6% 2.35 -27.6%

Away O1.5 36.8% 40.3% 2.48 -8.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 18.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob49.9%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.1%

#3 0–1 12.6%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 1–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seoul W1.0

Incheon Red Angels W1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SEOUL W · PPG 1.30

INCHEON RED ANGELS W · PPG 1.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.21, combined xG 2.29 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Seoul W (H) 32.3%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -24.1%

Draw 28.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -4.0%

Incheon Red Angels W (A) 39.0%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +1.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Seoul W face Incheon Red Angels W in South-Korea - WK-League on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seoul W a 32% chance, the draw 29% and Incheon Red Angels W 39%, so Incheon Red Angels W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Seoul W and 1.3 for Incheon Red Angels W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seoul W are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.00 for Incheon Red Angels W.

Seoul W vs Incheon Red Angels W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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