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Seoul W vs Gumi Sportstoto W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Regular Season - 17 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 10:00

Seoul W

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gumi Sportstoto W

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.5 puts the goal expectation near the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-112.0%0-28.8%0-34.3%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.5%1-112.5%1-29.1%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.4%2-16.5%2-24.7%2-32.3%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.5%3-12.2%3-21.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.2% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 50.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 32.8% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 47.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 22%

ROI 26.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.3%

A 50% / xG 1.0-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–1 12.0%

#3 0–0 8.3%

#4 1–2 9.1%

#5 0–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seoul W1.0

Gumi Sportstoto W1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SEOUL W · PPG 1.29

GUMI SPORTSTOTO W · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.42, combined xG 2.49 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Seoul W (H) 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gumi Sportstoto W (A) 50.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Seoul W face Gumi Sportstoto W in South-Korea - WK-League on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seoul W a 25% chance, the draw 25% and Gumi Sportstoto W 50%, so Gumi Sportstoto W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Seoul W and 1.5 for Gumi Sportstoto W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seoul W are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.38 for Gumi Sportstoto W.

Seoul W vs Gumi Sportstoto W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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