Today / Denmark - Superliga / Odense BK vs Randers FC

Odense BK vs Randers FC Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Relegation Group · Matchday 27 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

Odense BK

PPG 1.62 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLDL

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Randers FC

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWDL

// Model verdict

BTTS 62% chance

Model probability 59.5% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-17.9%0-25.9%0-33.0%0-4+1.6%1 1-07.6%1-111.4%1-28.6%1-34.3%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.5%2-18.2%2-26.2%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.6%3-14.0%3-23.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 47.6% 2.10 -23.6%

Draw 24.5% 29.4% 3.40 -16.7%

Away win 39.0% 29.9% 3.35 +30.6%

Over 2.5 56.6% 57.1% 1.75 -0.9%

Over 3.5 34.2% 35.1% 2.85 -2.5%

BTTS 59.5% 63.7% 1.57 -6.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.5%

A 39% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 0–1 7.9%

#5 1–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odense BK1.4

Randers FC1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.6% · O3.5 PROB 34.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ODENSE BK · PPG 1.62

RANDERS FC · PPG 1.23

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

Chance this pick lands

62%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.62) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Odense BK (H) 36.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -23.6%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -16.7%

Randers FC (A) 39.0%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +30.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Odense BK face Randers FC in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odense BK a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Randers FC 39%, so Randers FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Odense BK and 1.5 for Randers FC (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odense BK are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.23 for Randers FC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +30.6%. This match finished 3-1.

Odense BK vs Randers FC Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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