Odense BK vs Randers FC Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Denmark - Superliga Relegation Group - 27 Nature Energy Park· Odense Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:00

Odense BK PPG 1.62

3-1 MISS

Randers FC PPG 1.23

Away· +30.6% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Odense BK face Randers FC in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odense BK a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Randers FC 39%, so Randers FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Odense BK and 1.5 for Randers FC (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odense BK are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.23 for Randers FC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +30.6%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.4%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -23.6%

Draw 24.5%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -16.7%

Away 39.0%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +30.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.6% Odds: 1.75 -0.9%

Over 3.5 34.2% Odds: 2.85 -2.5%

BTTS 59.5% Odds: 1.57 -6.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Odense BK

1.45

Randers FC

1.50

Model SuggestionBTTS -6.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+30.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 64%

BTTS/No 58%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 60% (15 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.62) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)