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Westchester SC vs NY Cosmos Prediction— USA - USL League One

Group Stage ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 23:00

Westchester SC logo
Westchester SC
PPG 1.75 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
NY Cosmos logo
NY Cosmos
PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-11.4%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.3%1-14.7%1-22.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.5%2-17.5%2-23.3%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.1%3-18.1%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-016.6%4+-114.8%4+-26.6%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 71.8%
Draw 18.3%
Away win 9.9%
Over 2.5 67.0%
Over 3.5 49.4%
BTTS 55.4%
Home O1.5 76.8%
Away O1.5 25.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)3.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.4%

H 72% / xG 3.2-0.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.1%
#2 2–0 8.5%
#3 3–1 8.1%
#4 2–1 7.5%
#5 4–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Westchester SC3.2
NY Cosmos0.9

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WESTCHESTER SC · PPG 1.75

NY COSMOS · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Westchester SC (H) 71.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 18.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
NY Cosmos (A) 9.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Westchester SC face NY Cosmos in USA - USL League One on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Westchester SC a 72% chance, the draw 18% and NY Cosmos 10%, so Westchester SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Westchester SC and 0.9 for NY Cosmos (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Westchester SC are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.00 for NY Cosmos.

PredictVantage

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