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Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha Prediction— USA - USL League One

Group Stage ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 23:00

Portland Hearts of Pine

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Union Omaha

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.12)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-17.2%0-23.6%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.6%1-111.7%1-25.9%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.6%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.1%3-15.2%3-22.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-13.1%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.9% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.8% — — —

Over 3.5 33.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 53.9% — — —

Away O1.5 31.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.4%

H 52% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–0 11.6%

#3 2–1 9.6%

#4 2–0 9.4%

#5 0–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Portland Hearts of Pine1.6

Union Omaha1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PORTLAND HEARTS OF PINE · PPG 1.71

UNION OMAHA · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.12)

Win probability 1X2

Portland Hearts of Pine (H) 51.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Union Omaha (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Portland Hearts of Pine face Union Omaha in USA - USL League One on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Portland Hearts of Pine a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Union Omaha 23%, so Portland Hearts of Pine are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Portland Hearts of Pine and 1.0 for Union Omaha (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Portland Hearts of Pine are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.12 for Union Omaha.

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha Prediction— USA - USL League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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