Today / Uzbekistan - Super League / Lokomotiv vs Andijan

Lokomotiv vs Andijan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Matchday 13 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 15:00

Lokomotiv

PPG 1.60 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWD

3 – 3

FULL TIME

Andijan

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-111.2%0-26.5%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.4%1-113.2%1-27.7%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.7%2-17.8%2-24.5%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.6%3-13.1%3-21.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.8% 40.0% 2.50 -5.5%

Draw 27.0% 38.2% 2.62 -17.6%

Away win 35.2% 35.7% 2.80 -1.4%

Over 2.5 50.0% 42.0% 2.38 +19.0%

Over 3.5 28.7% 22.5% 4.45 +16.6%

BTTS 51.9% 51.3% 1.95 +1.2%

Home O1.5 35.0% 35.7% 2.80 -2.0%

Away O1.5 36.4% 32.3% 3.10 +12.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 19%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.9%

H 38% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 9.6%

#3 1–0 11.4%

#4 0–1 11.2%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lokomotiv1.2

Andijan1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LOKOMOTIV · PPG 1.60

ANDIJAN · PPG 1.17

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

52%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.02, combined xG 2.34 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lokomotiv (H) 37.8%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -5.5%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -17.6%

Andijan (A) 35.2%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -1.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lokomotiv face Andijan in Uzbekistan - Super League on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lokomotiv a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Andijan 35%, so Lokomotiv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Lokomotiv and 1.2 for Andijan (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lokomotiv are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.17 for Andijan. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +22.1%. This match finished 3-3.

Lokomotiv vs Andijan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Uzbekistan - Super League Predictions