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Lokomotiv vs Andijan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Regular Season - 13 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 15:00

Lokomotiv

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Andijan

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-111.4%0-26.5%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.6%1-113.2%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.7%2-17.7%2-24.4%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.6%3-13.0%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.7% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 35.2% — — —

Over 2.5 48.1% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 49.7% — — —

Home O1.5 35.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.3% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.7%

H 38% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 9.9%

#3 1–0 11.6%

#4 0–1 11.4%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lokomotiv1.2

Andijan1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LOKOMOTIV · PPG 1.60

ANDIJAN · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Lokomotiv (H) 37.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Andijan (A) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lokomotiv face Andijan in Uzbekistan - Super League on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lokomotiv a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Andijan 35%, so Lokomotiv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Lokomotiv and 1.1 for Andijan (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lokomotiv are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.17 for Andijan.

Lokomotiv vs Andijan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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