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Kokand-1912 vs Olmaliq Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Regular Season - 13 ·Wednesday, July 22, 2026, 15:00

Kokand-1912 logo
Kokand-1912
PPG 1.60 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Olmaliq logo
Olmaliq
PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-111.9%0-27.5%0-33.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-010.3%1-113.1%1-28.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.4%2 2-05.7%2-17.2%2-24.5%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.1%3-12.6%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 37.7%
Draw 27.1%
Away win 35.2%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Over 3.5 28.8%
BTTS 52.3%
Home O1.5 35.4%
Away O1.5 36.8%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 19%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.3%

A 35% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%
#2 0–0 9.4%
#3 0–1 11.9%
#4 1–0 10.3%
#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kokand-19121.1
Olmaliq1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KOKAND-1912 · PPG 1.60

OLMALIQ · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Kokand-1912 (H) 37.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Olmaliq (A) 35.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kokand-1912 face Olmaliq in Uzbekistan - Super League on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kokand-1912 a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Olmaliq 35%, so Kokand-1912 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kokand-1912 and 1.3 for Olmaliq (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kokand-1912 are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.67 for Olmaliq.

PredictVantage

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