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SJK Akatemia B vs TP-47 Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Sunday, July 12, 2026

SJK Akatemia B

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

TP-47

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-16.3%0-24.9%0-32.5%0-4+1.4%1 1-06.7%1-110.4%1-28.1%1-34.2%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.5%2-18.6%2-26.7%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.0%3-14.7%3-23.7%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.8%4+-22.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 31.7% — — —

Over 2.5 64.0% — — —

Over 3.5 41.4% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 52.5% — — —

Away O1.5 50.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%

O2.5 85%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 23%

ROI 3.2%

Bet Hit 85%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.2%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 0–0 4.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK Akatemia B1.7

TP-471.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 41.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK AKATEMIA B · PPG 1.50

TP-47 · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

SJK Akatemia B (H) 45.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TP-47 (A) 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK Akatemia B face TP-47 in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK Akatemia B a 46% chance, the draw 23% and TP-47 32%, so SJK Akatemia B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for SJK Akatemia B and 1.6 for TP-47 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK Akatemia B are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.00 for TP-47.

SJK Akatemia B vs TP-47 Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

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