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Jaro II vs SJK Akatemia B Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Wednesday, July 8, 2026

Jaro II

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

SJK Akatemia B

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.0%0-21.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-01.7%1-13.4%1-23.3%1-32.2%1-4+1.7%2 2-02.8%2-15.5%2-25.5%2-33.6%2-4+2.8%3 3-03.1%3-16.1%3-26.0%3-33.9%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-111.4%4+-211.3%4+-37.4%4+-4+5.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.6% — — —

Draw 17.6% — — —

Away win 27.8% — — —

Over 2.5 79.8% — — —

Over 3.5 53.0% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 75.9% — — —

Away O1.5 50.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 92%

BTTS 83%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 11.8%

Bet Hit 92%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob69.4%

H 55% / xG 3.3-2.0 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.1%

#2 3–2 6.0%

#3 2–1 5.5%

#4 2–2 5.5%

#5 4–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jaro II3.3

SJK Akatemia B2.0

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.8% · O3.5 PROB 53.0%

Form & verdict PPG

JARO II · PPG 3.00

SJK AKATEMIA B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=54.6%

Win probability 1X2

Jaro II (H) 54.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SJK Akatemia B (A) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jaro II face SJK Akatemia B in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Wednesday, July 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jaro II a 55% chance, the draw 18% and SJK Akatemia B 28%, so Jaro II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Jaro II and 2.0 for SJK Akatemia B (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jaro II are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.00 for SJK Akatemia B.

Jaro II vs SJK Akatemia B Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions