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GBK Kokkola vs JBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Friday, July 10, 2026, 15:30

GBK Kokkola

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

JBK

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.1% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-13.0%0-22.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-04.2%1-17.0%1-25.9%1-33.3%1-4+2.0%2 2-04.9%2-18.2%2-26.9%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.8%3-16.5%3-25.4%3-33.0%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-16.6%4+-25.6%4+-33.1%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% 46.5% 2.15 +11.2%

Draw 21.5% 26.7% 3.75 -11.6%

Away win 26.7% 39.2% 2.55 -19.1%

Over 2.5 72.1% 82.0% 1.22 -12.0%

Over 3.5 49.7% 62.1% 1.61 -20.0%

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 62.5% — — —

Away O1.5 50.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 92%

BTTS 83%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 11.8%

Bet Hit 92%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob69.4%

H 52% / xG 2.4-1.7 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 1–1 7.0%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 3–1 6.5%

#5 1–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GBK Kokkola2.4

JBK1.7

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.1% · O3.5 PROB 49.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GBK KOKKOLA · PPG 1.20

JBK · PPG 0.80

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

GBK Kokkola (H) 51.7%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +11.2%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -11.6%

JBK (A) 26.7%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -19.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

GBK Kokkola face JBK in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Friday, July 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GBK Kokkola a 52% chance, the draw 22% and JBK 27%, so GBK Kokkola are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for GBK Kokkola and 1.7 for JBK (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GBK Kokkola are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.80 for JBK. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.2%.

GBK Kokkola vs JBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions