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Throttur R. vs Volsungur Prediction— Iceland

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, July 18, 2026, 16:00

Throttur R.

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Volsungur

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.1% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.1%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.1%1-16.0%1-22.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.1%2-18.5%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.6%3-18.1%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-013.7%4+-111.6%4+-24.9%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.3% 85.5% 1.17 -23.6%

Draw 17.0% 15.4% 6.50 +6.3%

Away win 17.7% 8.3% 12.00 +67.4%

Over 2.5 67.1% 80.0% 1.25 -16.1%

Over 3.5 44.5% 60.6% 1.65 -26.6%

BTTS 55.5% 59.9% 1.67 -7.3%

Home O1.5 76.2% 85.5% 1.17 -10.8%

Away O1.5 22.1% 25.3% 3.95 -7.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 14%

ROI 4.7%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob55.5%

H 65% / xG 2.9-0.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.1%

#2 3–0 9.6%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 3–1 8.1%

#5 1–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Throttur R.2.9

Volsungur0.8

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.1% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

THROTTUR R. · PPG 2.00

VOLSUNGUR · PPG 0.50

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Throttur R. (H) 65.3%

ODDS 1.17 · IMPLIED 85.5% EV -23.6%

Draw 17.0%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +6.3%

Volsungur (A) 17.7%

ODDS 12.00 · IMPLIED 8.3% EV +67.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Throttur R. face Volsungur in Iceland on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Throttur R. a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Volsungur 18%, so Throttur R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Throttur R. and 0.8 for Volsungur (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Throttur R. are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Volsungur. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +67.4%.

Throttur R. vs Volsungur Prediction— Iceland

Match Preview & Prediction

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