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KTP vs PK-35 Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Saturday, July 18, 2026

KTP

PPG 2.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

PK-35

PPG 2.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.29), Away EXCELLENT (2.29)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.1%0-114.5%0-28.0%0-33.0%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.1%1-113.4%1-27.4%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.6%2-16.2%2-23.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.7%3-11.9%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% — — —

Draw 29.6% — — —

Away win 36.2% — — —

Over 2.5 47.9% — — —

Over 3.5 29.0% — — —

BTTS 52.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.4%

D 30% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 13.1%

#3 0–1 14.5%

#4 1–0 12.1%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KTP0.9

PK-351.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.9% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KTP · PPG 2.29

PK-35 · PPG 2.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.29), Away EXCELLENT (2.29)

Win probability 1X2

KTP (H) 34.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

PK-35 (A) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KTP face PK-35 in Finland - Ykkosliga on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KTP a 34% chance, the draw 30% and PK-35 36%, so PK-35 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for KTP and 1.1 for PK-35 (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KTP are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 2.29 for PK-35.

KTP vs PK-35 Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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