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SJK Akatemia vs Mikkelin Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Saturday, July 11, 2026

SJK Akatemia

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mikkelin

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-026.7%0-121.7%0-28.9%0-32.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.5%1-111.0%1-24.5%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-03.4%2-12.8%2-21.1%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.6%3-10.5%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.2% — — —

Draw 33.6% — — —

Away win 37.2% — — —

Over 2.5 36.0% — — —

Over 3.5 17.9% — — —

BTTS 45.6% — — —

Home O1.5 22.9% — — —

Away O1.5 21.2% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob45.6%

D 34% / xG 0.5-0.8 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 26.7%

#2 0–1 21.7%

#3 1–1 11.0%

#4 1–0 13.5%

#5 0–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK Akatemia0.5

Mikkelin0.8

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.0% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK AKATEMIA · PPG 0.67

MIKKELIN · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

SJK Akatemia (H) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mikkelin (A) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK Akatemia face Mikkelin in Finland - Ykkosliga on Saturday, July 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK Akatemia a 29% chance, the draw 34% and Mikkelin 37%, so Mikkelin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for SJK Akatemia and 0.8 for Mikkelin (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK Akatemia are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.86 for Mikkelin.

SJK Akatemia vs Mikkelin Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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