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Klubi-04 vs Haka Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Friday, July 17, 2026, 16:00

Klubi-04

PPG 0.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Haka

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.6%0-116.2%0-211.3%0-35.2%0-4+2.5%1 1-08.8%1-112.3%1-28.6%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-03.4%2-14.7%2-23.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.9%3-11.2%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.6% 21.1% 4.75 +15.8%

Draw 27.6% 25.3% 3.95 +5.4%

Away win 45.8% 63.7% 1.57 -28.1%

Over 2.5 47.0% 64.5% 1.55 -27.2%

Over 3.5 29.0% 42.0% 2.38 -18.6%

BTTS 48.5% 63.7% 1.57 -23.9%

Home O1.5 33.3% 33.9% 2.95 -1.8%

Away O1.5 39.0% 66.7% 1.50 -41.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob48.5%

A 46% / xG 0.8-1.4 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.2%

#2 1–1 12.3%

#3 0–0 11.6%

#4 0–2 11.3%

#5 1–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Klubi-040.8

Haka1.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.0% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KLUBI-04 · PPG 0.57

HAKA · PPG 1.67

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Klubi-04 (H) 26.6%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +15.8%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +5.4%

Haka (A) 45.8%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -28.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Klubi-04 face Haka in Finland - Ykkosliga on Friday, July 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Klubi-04 a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Haka 46%, so Haka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Klubi-04 and 1.4 for Haka (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Klubi-04 are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.67 for Haka. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.8%.

Klubi-04 vs Haka Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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