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Klubi-04 vs JIPPO Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Saturday, July 11, 2026, 16:00

Klubi-04

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

JIPPO

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.8%0-117.3%0-210.2%0-34.0%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.9%1-112.8%1-27.5%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-04.0%2-14.7%2-22.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.0%3-11.2%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.6% 22.7% 4.40 +12.9%

Draw 29.2% 29.9% 3.35 -1.3%

Away win 43.1% 57.8% 1.73 -25.4%

Over 2.5 44.0% 51.3% 1.95 -14.2%

Over 3.5 25.9% 29.4% 3.40 -7.2%

BTTS 48.4% 55.6% 1.80 -12.9%

Home O1.5 33.3% 28.2% 3.55 +18.2%

Away O1.5 35.7% 54.1% 1.85 -34.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.4%

A 43% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.8%

#2 0–1 17.3%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 0–2 10.2%

#5 1–0 10.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Klubi-040.7

JIPPO1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 25.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KLUBI-04 · PPG 0.67

JIPPO · PPG 1.83

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.83) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Klubi-04 (H) 27.6%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +12.9%

Draw 29.2%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -1.3%

JIPPO (A) 43.1%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -25.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Klubi-04 face JIPPO in Finland - Ykkosliga on Saturday, July 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Klubi-04 a 28% chance, the draw 29% and JIPPO 43%, so JIPPO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Klubi-04 and 1.2 for JIPPO (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Klubi-04 are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.83 for JIPPO. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +18.2%.

Klubi-04 vs JIPPO Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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