Today / Finland - Ykkosliga / JIPPO vs Mikkelin

JIPPO vs Mikkelin Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Wednesday, July 15, 2026

JIPPO

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mikkelin

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.88)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.5%0-19.1%0-22.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.4%1-111.1%1-22.9%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.1%2-16.8%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.3%3-12.8%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.1%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.9% — — —

Draw 28.4% — — —

Away win 19.7% — — —

Over 2.5 39.6% — — —

Over 3.5 22.5% — — —

BTTS 46.6% — — —

Home O1.5 38.2% — — —

Away O1.5 18.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.6%

H 52% / xG 1.2-0.5 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.4%

#2 0–0 17.5%

#3 2–0 13.1%

#4 1–1 11.1%

#5 0–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JIPPO1.2

Mikkelin0.5

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

JIPPO · PPG 1.43

MIKKELIN · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

JIPPO (H) 51.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mikkelin (A) 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

JIPPO face Mikkelin in Finland - Ykkosliga on Wednesday, July 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JIPPO a 52% chance, the draw 28% and Mikkelin 20%, so JIPPO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for JIPPO and 0.5 for Mikkelin (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JIPPO are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.88 for Mikkelin.

JIPPO vs Mikkelin Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Ykkosliga Predictions