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Suwon City vs Seoul E-Land Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 18, 2026, 10:30

Suwon City

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Seoul E-Land

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-15.9%0-24.0%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-07.7%1-110.5%1-27.1%1-33.2%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.9%2-19.3%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.1%3-15.5%3-23.7%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.7%4+-22.5%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% 35.1% 2.85 +41.1%

Draw 23.3% 28.6% 3.50 -11.1%

Away win 27.2% 45.5% 2.20 -24.1%

Over 2.5 63.9% 60.6% 1.65 +5.4%

Over 3.5 40.1% 38.5% 2.60 +4.3%

BTTS 62.4% 66.7% 1.50 -6.4%

Home O1.5 53.0% 44.4% 2.25 +19.3%

Away O1.5 39.0% 51.3% 1.95 -23.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -14.4%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.4%

H 50% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–0 6.9%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suwon City1.8

Seoul E-Land1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SUWON CITY · PPG 2.14

SEOUL E-LAND · PPG 2.00

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.14), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Suwon City (H) 49.5%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV +41.1%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -11.1%

Seoul E-Land (A) 27.2%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -24.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Suwon City face Seoul E-Land in South Korea - K League 2 on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suwon City a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Seoul E-Land 27%, so Suwon City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Suwon City and 1.4 for Seoul E-Land (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suwon City are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 2.00 for Seoul E-Land. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +41.1%.

Suwon City vs Seoul E-Land Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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